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After 85 ability gains with drink buffing a neutral ability, these are the results:
Drink buffed ability: 26/85 (30.6%)
Common ability: 20/85 (23.5%)
Neutral ability: 37/85 (43.5%)
Uncommon ability: 2/85 (2.4%)
The common ability still seemed to maintain its 5x higher than neutral...
I think you and everyone else are right, trying to drink-buff a common ability doesn't work. The odds seem to be capped at the 5x normal mark. I've even noticed that it seems to have the opposite effect, though I may have just been unlucky.
However! I have a theory about the most effective...
Here's the math on the different chances of getting a "neutral" ability on random brands compared to the others.
There are 14 possible abilities in total. On a random brand, the chances of getting any one ability is 1/14, or 7.14%. Easy math.
On a brand with an affinity, the chances of...