Sorry I wasn't around early - only just found some time to sit down and make my analysis.
Vote Count for Day1
Symag: 2 votes (IoCal, AlphaOmegaSplatter)
Squid Master: 2 votes (Trieste Sp, SyMag)
RamenNoodles: 1 vote (bayleef)
Not voting: Ramen, VeryButter, aviatsvi, symag, <my replacement>
Vote Count for Day2
5 Votes on Ramen Noodles, (VeryButter, bbninjas, aviatsvi, AOS, symag)
Not voting: bayleef, Trieste Sp
So above is how the votes have been looking like. Since we know that Ramen is mafia, we can have a look at this vote counts to see who are likely town and who are likely scum. I think that the players that voted for Ramen will be less suspicious. It should be noted that mafia often will vote their mafia buddies if they will definitely be lynched, so they can look like town. Because of this, I think the the earlier a player votes, the less scummy they are.
So, I think that VeryButter is very likely town, because they pushed for the lynch on Ramen first (great job, btw!!). I also think Bayleef is very likely town, because they were the first player to vote, and they voted Ramen. I know I am town and I am being the driving force in this game, so I think I'm town. :p We then know that aviatsvi is definitely town from his role and being the nightkill last night.
That leaves AOS, symag and Triest Sp as suspicious players. I still don't think AOS is scum from saying "I'm not important, lynch me" before. Therefore, I think either Symag or Triest Sp are mafia. Here's the most suspicious points for each:
Triest Sp:
- Wasn't helping the confused newbies play the game... a pro-mafia act (Could be because of inactivity)
- Has been inactive/lurking. Lurking is generally good for mafia because you tend to sly by a few days while people focus on the active players. I would appreciate the host poking Triest to post, since i don't think he did at all last game.
- Voted for Squidmaster over Ramen for "no reason". Did he vote for Squidmaster because Ramen was his scumbuddy?
- By process of elimination, very likely scum
Symag:
- Put Squid Master in the lead, meaning Ramen wasn't getting lynched at that point. Could this be because Ramen is his scumbuddy?
- Very lately voted for the Ramen lynch. This could be mafia trying to look inno by voting for his scumbuddy, who was very likely getting lynched
- "Not having any leads" through much of Day 2 despite there being many leads.
- Celebrating that we lynched mafia + doctored the nk, yet doesn't post anything of substance. There is lots to talk about now.
- By process of elimination, very likely scum
I'm not too sure who is mafia and who is town yet. I'm leaning slightly to Triest atm because Symag has been sorta helpful (I guess) and Triest hasn't at all. aviatsvi did track Symag who didn't do anything during Night 1, which makes it less likely (sorta) that he is mafia. I'm going to vote: Triest for the moment.